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gfunk911
on Nov 14, 2013
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The Coach Who Never Punts
This is incorrect, because the scenario where they go for it and make it does not have a value of zero..it is still -EV
tghw
on Nov 14, 2013
[–]
It's true, but I didn't have the data. Regardless, it decreases if they convert, which might double the break even point, but it still wouldn't be unreasonable.
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