From the article.

> At the end of 2023, Justin Garrison left AWS and roasted them on his way out the door. He stated that AWS had seen an increase in Large Scale Events (or LSEs), and predicted significant outages in 2024. It would seem that he discounted the power of inertia

Your comment is relying on that referenced inertia. Things will continue to function for a period of time, but there exists an inflection point at which they no longer function as previously.

Arguably we had a perfect example with Twitter.

In what way? It seems reliable enough. I admit I don't check it constantly, but I've not noticed outages impacting my perhaps middling usage.

The year or so after Musk took over was brutal. The influx of far-right pests, troll farms and porn bots was one thing, but the reliability went down the drain.

Exactly / but it did not DIE as many were predicting (even on HN many were claiming it would go down immediately).

Inertia is a hell of a force.

It kind of died, twitter as it was even though X is still running and somewhat recovered in terms of infra.

Musk effectively left his newest plaything a few months after the takeover and some events like him going in in a datacenter and disconnecting servers, that was when Twitter (I'll call it X when he acknowledges his daughter) started to stabilize again.

All that he seems to be doing these days at Twitter is messing around with the recommendation algorithm, override the decisions of what's left of moderation for his far-right friends and that's it. Oh and of course Grok/xAI or however it's called these days, but IIRC that's a separate corporate entity that just got shoehorned onto Twitter.

xAI took on all the debt that was used as leverage by Musk in order to take Twitter private.