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> My wife and I have been holding Treasury bills for the past few years waiting for mortgage rates or home prices to come down, but neither have.

I wonder how long people remain in such states. I feel like for something as big as house ownership you need to decide if you really want it and if you do just go for it. How much of your life are you prepared to spend on "getting ahead"? They say "life is what happens to you while you're making other plans".



Their strategy was just bad. Housing prices do drop, occasionally, but waiting for that can take decades. And waiting for mortgage rates to drop is completely unnecessary. Just refinance when they finally do!


The whole economy is gambling, and there is no way not to gamble. When you gamble, you can lose. These people gambled and lost. And the stakes are your life.

Maybe we should invent a better system.


A 20-30 year long monthly reminder that your mortgage payments are significantly higher due to missing the boat. Ouch!

Painful for people that do not expect significant further income increases.


This is the current sentiment. But it is short sighted.

The best recommendation is to _know_ the fundamentals of house prices. To know when buying is cheap and expensive.

Eg. in relative terms: buying a house at 30 Price/Rent makes it more affordable to rent - in such an environment, just rent. If the P/R falls to 15-20, then buy.

Housing can also be unaffordable in absolute terms such as wanting to live in down town San Fransisco. In this case people should strongly consider if they want to pay a premium for that locality.

We don't have to go longer back than 2013 to when it made sense to buy over renting - and that will return at some point.


It's your choice to think about such things and therefore it's your choice to be unhappy about it. You can't change the past so you can either be unhappy about it, or not. It's your choice.




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