*"People tend to overestimate what can be done in one year and to underestimate ... | Hacker News

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		bumby on Sept 26, 2024 \| parent \| context \| favorite \| on: Xkcd 1425 (Tasks) turns ten years old today "People tend to overestimate what can be done in one year and to underestimate what can be done in five or ten years" I've heard this applied to all kinds of human goals, but it seems apt for AI expectations as well.

chairmansteve on Sept 26, 2024 [–]

Yep. Maybe there's going to be a year 2000 style crash, and then a slower but very significant regrowth.

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