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>That pre-launch "tolerance" is basically zero

I don't think that is accurate. There is a difference between 9%, 99%, and 99.999% confidence of success going into a launch.

You can almost always delay builds and launces to run more simulations, tests, and studies and increase confidence.

A simple example is SpaceX could have chosen to wait until they had a booster test with 100% engine ignition before moving on a full launch. Instead they choose move forward anyways without more stationary booster testing.



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