Technology tends to grow with a sigmoid curve. Extremely fast growth at the star... | Hacker News

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		squeaky-clean on Feb 20, 2023 \| parent \| context \| favorite \| on: CheatGPT Technology tends to grow with a sigmoid curve. Extremely fast growth at the start, and then it slows down and eventually plateaus and new technology repeats the cycle. The only question is where on the curve are we for LLMs and AI in general?

marginalia_nu on Feb 21, 2023 [–]

I see this sigmoid growth prediction quite often. What is the basis for assuming it will follow this shape? What are some examples of this happening?

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