Just another data point. Billy McFarland was arrested by FBI agents Monday following the Fyre Festival for defrauding investors. He did not confess prior to his arrest.
Billy raised $20m with fake financials. SBF raised close to a $1B, and I’m sure he didn’t disclose the fact that customer deposits flowed to a hedge fund he controlled exclusively.
Harm caused to consumers and investors is just as obvious, if not more obvious in SBF’s case, when compared to Billy’s festival.
That's a great data point, especially because it reaffirms (at least for me, personally) how easy it is to lose track of even recent infamous history.
Just skimming the Wikipedia entry, so maybe I'm missing something, but wasn't McFarland arrested 2 months after Fyre? This May 2017 [0] article, about a month after, describes McFarland still running his company as the first civil lawsuits are filed. This June 30 article [1] is about his arrest. It sounded like the civil suits against McFarland helped push along the wire fraud charge; AFAIK, SBF is named in a couple of investor suits so far, so it'll be interesting what things look like next month.
If you read the indictment, they also had McFarland dead-to-rights: two investors and an employee cooperated to demonstrate specific instances where McFarland knowingly misrepresented basic facts, including forged ScottTrade statements, to get investment for the festival.
McFarland had an investor call him and asked for a percentage of his investment back or things would be over of McFarland. It’s believed this investor turned him in.
The harm may be obvious, but that’s not the same thing as proving criminal guilt beyond a reasonable doubt. Not sure why anyone would think FTX/Alameda would be as easy to investigate as the Fyre Festival.
People don’t get arrested when they’ve done something bad. People get arrested (for federal crimes) when a prosecutor gets a grand jury to believe there’s probable cause they’ve committed a crime.
By all accounts, convicting grand jury is super easy. They will stamp whatever prosecution wants. But, getting ready for actual court takes time and early arrest don't always matter
Grand juries don't convict. But yes, there's the old "I can indict a ham sandwich" line. Even so, the process still takes time, and even then, you don't get an indictment unless you think you've got a case you can win. What evidence does DOJ have at the moment?
I wonder if this collapse didn't happen, which happened exclusively by being found out, that once his books were eventually audited that the criminal handling of deposits would have caughth up to him eventually.
I tell my gambling friends that if they bet the farm and win big, their wives will be horrified at the risk they tool even though it worked out. It's a moral loss regardless of the outcome.
I used to work in risk management at an investment bank. When things went wrong, and the result was a gain, we incorporated it into our models as if it was a loss of the same magnitude.
If you be once and win you then can roll the money into lower return legitimate enterprises and sail off into the sunset.
I'd wager that most businesses that start as a single person doing something (be it investing money or detailing cars) start as off the books, under the table, zero regard for regulatory compliance type businesses. It's only when they've made enough on that initial investment outside the rules that they turn around and incur the cost of compliance.
> their wives will be horrified at the risk they tool even though it worked out.
Whenever we participated in auctions for housing sites, my wife would stop me at a certain number. The number of times we were the second highest bidder ...
> I don’t know that the two situations are comparable as a result.
Why or why not? Should the amount of publicity matter for the justice system? What distinguishes a "humanitarian disaster" from a bunch of rich kids having to sleep rough on a beach near a resort town for a few days?
Hey now. I heard the rich kids also had to eat sandwiches with just bread and cheese. It was a real humanitarian crisis I tell you, right up there with the Ethiopian famine!
my impression of prosecutors is that they are a narcissist bunch who are in that role because tough-on-crime reputation they earn by putting ppl in prison gives them a leg up in future political career. so more publicity a case gets and less resources the defendant has, more attractive the case is to prosecutors i would think.
State attorneys general and district attorney offices are much, much more mired in politics than the comparable Federal offices. The former are more often staging points for moving up the political ladder; whereas the Federal positions are more often filled by career legal lifers, and act as staging points for moving to the private sector, to judicial appointments, or retirement.
That said, the SEC, which AFAIU would normally take the lead, is poorly staffed. The SEC leans heavily on automation, intimidation, and rapid plea deals in order to avoid resource intensive investigations and prosecutions; much more so than run-of-the-mill criminal cases that more immediately can benefit from the huge staffs at the FBI, ATF, DoJ, etc. So when prosecution and a prerequisite comprehensive investigation is clearly warranted and necessary, there seems to be considerable inconsistency in process and outcome. And that's before accounting for the fact that financial crimes can be very difficult to prove at trial, both factually and legally--just ask Donald Trump or the Church of Scientology, white whales renowned for beating countless financial related prosecutions and civil suits.
> That said, the SEC, which AFAIU would normally take the lead
The SEC only has civil enforcement authority, ie lawsuits. Criminal complaints must be referred to DOJ. They also tend to be much less creative than Justice at finding jurisdiction over non-US entities.
The entire reason crypto companies incorporate outside the US is to avoid SEC jurisdiction. But crimes against US persons are crimes wherever the company is located.
But still the SEC is usually in the lead initially, before referral to the DoJ, and thus the SEC would be the gatekeeper and pace setter, especially this early on. They're in the best position to begin gathering and analyzing evidence, afterall, as well as determining impact and priority. (But please correct me if I'm wrong. The closest I've ever been to such types of investigations is hearing war stories from a law professor who had worked either at the IRS, or at the DoJ on some cases referred from the IRS. Other than that, I just follow the news and interesting legal cases.)
Perhaps the DoJ has already starting formally looking at FTX, et al, on their own. OTOH, I actually had never heard of FTX or Bankman-Fried before recently, and honestly still don't get what the hubbub is about. I'm skeptical how impactful the collapse truly is, beyond the rarified world of crypto enthusiasts, wealthy tech investors, etc. And given that its overseas, I really wouldn't expect (either pragmatically or idealistically) the SEC or DoJ to rapidly shift significant resources and attention to FTX; certainly not on the order of days or weeks.
The SEC collects billions of dollars in fines every year, typically with several individual fines of over $100M.
While some actions (like a minor player doing thousands of dollars in insider trading) may be paint-by-numbers, my impression is that substantial resources go into the types of investigations that can lead to massive settlements.
Although, in a case like FTX, it’s hard to get blood from a stone.
They’ll be able to rake back some of the paid-out funds though. Should be able to pay some big fines/penalties.
I suspect something similar is going on with the quadriga bankruptcy in Canada. CRA (Canadian IRS) did an audit and shared its results with the creditors’ lawyers months ago but nobody has heard anything about it yet: they probably didn’t like the penalties they’re being asked to pay.
I’m not sure it’s the publicity that matters so much as the immediate threat to human life & safety. In society that tends to be prioritized over financial misdeeds with more ambiguous long term consequences.
I think pessimizer is implying that spending a night or two on the beach in the tropics within walking distance of a town is perhaps not actually that risky.
We still operate as the primitive creatures we are. People are more terrified if they see some people potentially dying of hunger vs. many people losing digits in some computer. The first one can trigger panic. Prosecution being as primitive as we are will hurry for the first case.
Another point: $10bn+ is a lot of money and probably caused lots of damage (ie: suicide). But if someone pulled a knife in Time Square, the police will be quick to apprehend him and the prosecution very willing to charge him. There was no harm done and yet resources will be deployed. But SBF might be even more dangerous yet no one is panicking yet (except some people here who might appreciate how dangerous he is)
Everything is relative. "just money" is how it is for any one not homeless or below the poverty line.
Who was at actual risk during Fyre Festival? I watched one of the docs. It was an absolute shit show and people were super uncomfortable for a while. Actual risk that's an order of magnitude worse seems like an overreach.
People kill themselves over “just money”. People find their circumstances markedly reduced. Retirements ruined, health suffering due to stress, working longer, being unable to afford good care…
It’s likely this affects tens or hundreds of thousands of people around the world. It’s a different sort of crisis, but it’s still a crisis.
That might be a reasonable expectation if FTX only allowed deposits by accredited investors, but I don’t think “professional investors” were the target audience of their Super Bowl ads starring Tom Brady.
Same can be said of all Ponzi scheme, that doesn’t make the crimes less severe or the harm caused to the innocent any less painful, and it certainly doesn’t mean that the criminals should be able to escape justice.
Billy raised $20m with fake financials. SBF raised close to a $1B, and I’m sure he didn’t disclose the fact that customer deposits flowed to a hedge fund he controlled exclusively.
Harm caused to consumers and investors is just as obvious, if not more obvious in SBF’s case, when compared to Billy’s festival.
https://youtu.be/pNS1khHWTmI