6 cases doesn't seem high enough to rise above the baseline incidence rate that I would expect for a population of millions that have received the vaccine.
The reported data simply doesn't explain stopping use of this vaccine. It seems like either:
1) They are overreacting based on sparse data, which will cast doubt on the validity of their actions.
2) There is information being withheld that implicates, though perhaps without certainty, that the vaccine is the specific cause of these issues.
Either way, the net result will be more distrust & greater reluctance to get vaccinated. There has to be a better way to handle this problem.
This vaccine is similar to the AZ one which seems to have an elevated rate over a much larger sample size. Thus a pattern here that matches patterns we expect of the AZ vaccine suggests this has the same problem even though if we take the data alone it is still within the range of normal.
As such 1 is no longer correct, if we didn't have a compare these numbers are high but within expected chance. However these numbers are looking like within the range of the compare even more than normal.
I agree that 1 seems unlikely, and yet #2 just feels too close to a conspiracy theory. The only explanation for #2 that I can think of that doesn't verge into crazy land of coverups is that there may be very specific reasons to believe the vaccine is the cause, but not enough confidence in that conclusion to release the details publicly without risking the vaccination effort if it turns out the vaccine was not the issue.
It would help if details were released about the physical condition of the 6 people impacted by this. If all of them were otherwise perfectly healthy people with no risk factors for this sort of issue, then yes-- that's a bit of a smoking gun.
But where things stand right now I just don't know what to make of the issues, which is just so damn frustrating because I know it gives ample reason to anyone inclines to doubt the experts or avoid vaccination a reason to do so.
The reported data simply doesn't explain stopping use of this vaccine. It seems like either:
1) They are overreacting based on sparse data, which will cast doubt on the validity of their actions.
2) There is information being withheld that implicates, though perhaps without certainty, that the vaccine is the specific cause of these issues.
Either way, the net result will be more distrust & greater reluctance to get vaccinated. There has to be a better way to handle this problem.