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This article is the very definition of "going out on a limb."

"It is rumoured Google will soon open-source the VP8 video compression format by On2 Technologies..."

Yeah, rumoured. Tech giants buy startups all the time, only to do nothing with them.

"Google will transcode all videos on YouTube to VP8 format, and serve this as the default to capable browsers."

It's probably just as likely they'll leave things as they are. Or do what they're doing with 3D on YouTube: offer it as an option in the menu on the video's page for those with the hardware & software necessary.

"But if you’re using Internet Explorer, not to worry: all you need to do is install a simple plugin: Chrome Frame. Chrome Frame effectively turns Internet Explorer into Chrome."

Chrome Frame doesn't turn IE into Chrome, it turns IE into something similar to Chrome when on YouTube. When not browsing YouTube, it's still good old IE. In other words, IE's market share will remain unaffected by this factor.

"...vast majority of IE users will either have switched to a different browser...."

No they won't. The vast majority of web users don't know what a browser is, otherwise no-one would voluntarily use IE. I was using my non-technically literate friend's PC a few months back, and I asked him why he was using IE as his browser. His reponse: "What's a browser?"

"This will reveal Google’s acquisitions of YouTube, On2, and their development of their own Chrome browser, merely as components in a masterpiece of long-game strategy."

There's no way in hell that Google could have anticipated that YouTube would become the 3rd most trafficked site on the web when they purchased it and that it would remain consistently popular. As for On2, a wait and see approach would be prudent. Google's Chrome OS due out next year is far more relevant to Google's ongoing battle with MS than anything else in this article.

Don't get me wrong, I hope what you are predicting will come true. But I seriously doubt it will.



"Chrome Frame doesn't turn IE into Chrome, it turns IE into something similar to Chrome when on YouTube. When not browsing YouTube, it's still good old IE."

I'm afraid you're mistaken. Chrome Frame replaces Trident, and renders any page just as it would be in Chrome. It also uses Google's V8 javascript engine, again without restriction as to the site you are visiting.

http://code.google.com/chrome/chromeframe/




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