+ We are outsourced there but we are the customers in that equation. The Chinese will not make things more difficult for American buyers - they are in a very pernicious situation as it is.
+ As for tariffs: the thing is - we are already in a trade war. China can sell in the US at will. China blocks tons of American companies from selling to China.
American exports to China are almost nothing.
The Chinese are already 'attacking' and have little to retaliate with.
Also - manufacturers are already moving many things out of China etc. and the gov knows it.
Tariffs may pinch a little bit, but if they do - they would be offset by a commensurate uptick in American manufacturing.
The only thing the Chinese could do would be to block 'Pizza Hut' and possibly Apple, which would suck.
Because of the trade imbalance, the Americans can do far, far more damage than the other way around.
China does hold massive US reserves, and could play some tricks, but it's not going to get to that, moreover, the Fed is ready to mop up any liquidity if the Chinese step out of bounds.
China has been playing a great hand of poker against the West - dividing and conquering - US and EU leaders all kow towing to China, and if they speak up getting slapped down for 'fear of losing access' to China. But we don't have access ... and we're never going to get it. Why would they give us access?
It will take some leadership to re-establish proper trade relations, and even though I don't like Trump at all - if he gets more aggressive with China it would be almost surely a 'good thing'.
The area I would worry about is military i.e. South China sea etc..
I see a lot of Obamacare being repealed, a tougher stance on illegal immigration coming for sure. I don't think that will hit the Valley very hard.
+ As for tariffs: the thing is - we are already in a trade war. China can sell in the US at will. China blocks tons of American companies from selling to China.
American exports to China are almost nothing.
The Chinese are already 'attacking' and have little to retaliate with.
Also - manufacturers are already moving many things out of China etc. and the gov knows it.
Tariffs may pinch a little bit, but if they do - they would be offset by a commensurate uptick in American manufacturing.
The only thing the Chinese could do would be to block 'Pizza Hut' and possibly Apple, which would suck.
Because of the trade imbalance, the Americans can do far, far more damage than the other way around.
China does hold massive US reserves, and could play some tricks, but it's not going to get to that, moreover, the Fed is ready to mop up any liquidity if the Chinese step out of bounds.
China has been playing a great hand of poker against the West - dividing and conquering - US and EU leaders all kow towing to China, and if they speak up getting slapped down for 'fear of losing access' to China. But we don't have access ... and we're never going to get it. Why would they give us access?
It will take some leadership to re-establish proper trade relations, and even though I don't like Trump at all - if he gets more aggressive with China it would be almost surely a 'good thing'.
The area I would worry about is military i.e. South China sea etc..
I see a lot of Obamacare being repealed, a tougher stance on illegal immigration coming for sure. I don't think that will hit the Valley very hard.