There’s a guaranteed path to AGI, but it’s blocked behind computational complexity. Finding an efficient algorithm to simulate Quantum Mechanics should be top priority for those seeking AGI. A more promising way around it is using Quantum Computing, but we’ll have to wait for that to become good enough..

Required energy density at the necessary scale will be your next hurdle.

Once you have the efficient algorithm you approximate asymptotically with the energy you have, of course you can’t obtain the same precision

Or speed. I think Frank Herbert was on to something in Dune. The energy efficiency of the human brain is hard to beat. Perhaps we should invest in discovering "spice." I think it might be more worthwhile.

Okay, enough eggnog and posting.

That would arguably not be artificial intelligence, but rather simulated natural intelligence.

It also seems orders of magnitude less resource efficient than higher-level approaches.

What’s the difference? Arguably the latter will be better IMO than the former

How many orders of magnitude? Nearly as many as it would be less efficient?

It’s like comparing apples and oranges

How would simulating quantum mechanics help with AGI?

My guess is they believe in the Penrose idea that consciousness has something to do with quantum mechanics

now buy the stock

What exactly should get simulated and how do you think quantum mechanics will help with this?

At least the solar system I would say. Quantum mechanics will help you do that in the correct way to obtain what Nature already obtained: general intelligence.

Cloudflare is becoming the great firewall of America more and more every day

And yet, inevitable. That’s why a simulation of the universe would be a secure way of creating AGI in the true sense. All depends on: can you find an algorithm that simulates quantum physics efficiently, or, can you make a quantum computer with sufficiently many qbits?

... huh, wow.

Talk about sublimity.

This behavior of locking down everything needs to be regulated, not only for car manufacturers but also for everything else

Let's start with smartphones.

You can make a law that encompasses all

Yes and we have evolved to do so

I’ve read the article and skimmed the paper, but they don’t seem to say if the model has to be retrained every few days or every now and then. Because if it’s trained on marginals it seems to me that the model essentially learns to forecast weather at each location (a bit like locals do), but weather patterns might change over time so I guess they’ll have to retrain it. The retraining frequency might be a deal breaker if for example you have to train it for 3 wall lock days every, say, 7 days.

You could try investing the unemployed time in your own project and see if it goes somewhere. Do the things you’d like to get hire for. Innovate. I understand it’s unwaged work but at least you don’t waste your time and it will make your cv better.

I think you at Extropic should find a way of “entangling “ your pbits..

Contrary to asexual reproduction, sexual reproduction permits population shrinkage. That is because we evolved with the need to be able to shrink the population when necessary. We are too many and population is going to shrink naturally on its own no matter what. If your income depends on the number of consumers, then I can see why you don’t want population to shrink.