I've been asking for independent analysis for years now. The data is there. Yet all the headlines are from people who have an obvious bias - this is the first where I've seen a headline where there is no evidence that the data has been looked at.
There are many ways to "lie with statistics". Comparing all drivers - including those who are driving in weather self driving cars are not allowed to see - for example. there are many others and I want some deep analysis to know how they are doing and so far I've not seen it.
The biggest clue is that Tesla still needs to have a human supervisor in the car. They aren't doing that for show, it's an active admission that the tech isn't there yet.
From this article, Tesla crashes 50% more often. But hard to compare when one has a human safety driver and the other does not.
> the report finds that Tesla Robotaxis crash approximately once every 62,500 miles. Waymo vehicles, which have been involved in 1,267 crashes since the service went live, crash approximately every 98,600 miles. And, again, Waymo does not have human safety monitors inside its vehicles, unlike Tesla's Robotaxis.
Above human rates for sure. In the 90s in my country, accident rate were 5 for a million kilometer (so 5 for 621371,192 miles), and the rate have come down since.
Basically they are crashing at the same rate as 18-25 years old in the 90s, in France. When we could still drink like 3 glasses and drive.
Driverless Teslas are the hit pieces. Hitting people. Ayooo.
Seriously though, Tesla has an extension history of irresponsibly selling "autopilot" which killed a ton of people. Because they don't take safety seriously. Waymo hasn't.
Accountability is a pretty big issue, I think. We've accepted, for better or worse, a certain level of human-caused crashes for 100 years or so. If machines take the wheel they have to be an order of magnitude (or more) better.
Their investors and investments. Artificially increasing the demand for AI by ramming it down users’ throats is great for the bottom line.
Edit: To give an actual contrarian view, this could be useful for people who are completely computer illiterate, but need to use a computer for work/school etc and have no desire to learn the basics of using a desktop OS.
>people who are completely computer illiterate, but need to use a computer for work/school etc and have no desire to learn the basics of using a desktop OS.
People want to give you snarky responses without having read the article.
This is a push for a new way to interact with computers. Using natural language, at every part of the interface, to give the computer instruction. Allowing those instructions to be dialog.
Also, on the topic of keyboard vs voice, I think differently when my thoughts are expressed through typing and speech. A computer that can follow my babble around (which would also need eye tracking or some brain connection to fully understand the context of each thought) is radically different than using a mouse or keyboard commands to select focus.
If anything, this marketing copy appears to be a push towards a first preview of the future. What you can actually do with it is rudimentary, but the paradigm of _how_ you interact is a major behavior change that is required first before full capability can be unlocked. We are probably close than people believe to a full holodeck experience of interacting in a fully 3d rendered environment, and having it manifest change realtime. At some point the interface of the shell fades away completely, or at least optionally.
This is useful for corporations that want to reduce their workforce’s mean skill level in order to lower wages without impacting growth in revenue growth year-over-year. Such firms are the majority of Microsoft’s revenue, I expect.
It amazes me that corporations think that employees making a decent wage and revenue are not correlated. What happens when everyone is making subsistence wages? Who is buying consumer goods at that point?
That’s why payment of wages in company scrip was made illegal! Previously, the next step was to pay people in a made-up currency that had no market value outside of the company store, so that workers could be effectively held prisoner at the destitution line by disabling their ability to save up money to leave. The corporation can buy the goods at a heavy discount in bulk from another corporation and no profits need be paid out to workers, nor to retention efforts.
This cycle, gig work and part-time hours are exploiting the health care gap to ensure that people are paid just barely enough money to show up to work the next day, but not enough money or hours so that they can afford to voluntarily quit being exploited. Universal healthcare and basic income at a national level would crater involuntary employment numbers and likely cause a banking crash when consumers default en masse on their credit debt balances.
“Chattel slavery is dead, but industrial slavery remains.” (1886)
Imagine someone who doesn't know much about computers, and doesn't really want to learn. Then imagine a PC with a built in AI assistant a few generations more advanced than today's SOTA.
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User: hey, why is the game running so slow?
AI Assistant: starts checking things.
Telemetry, apps: GTA 6 was launched 1 hour ago, then stopped 4 minutes ago. Likely the source of the performance complaints.
Telemetry, frames: FPS was at 60 when the game started, started dropping after 30 minutes of gameplay, deteriorated sharply. Reached the low of 18 FPS with unstable frame timings 12 minutes ago and remained there. Confirms GTA 6 as the source of the performance complaints.
Game settings: "medium" preset, locked to 60 FPS, lines up with recommendations for this system.
Expected performance of this game on this hardware with those settings: should stay at 60, with dips down to 50 in heavy areas. Does not match the observed performance.
Telemetry, resource utilization: normal until 30 minutes into gameplay, then increasingly GPU bound, causing poor performance.
Telemetry, power: the laptop was at 100% of charge and plugged in throughout. Temps were at 40C when the game was launched, then started ramping up, fan reached its RPM limit at 20 minutes, temperature kept climbing. Progressively more throttling was applied to GPU and CPU. 80C on GPU die (thermal limit) was hit 34 minutes in. GPU performance was choked by the thermal throttling.
Local temperature: no dedicated air intake sensor to query the air temperature from. 19C outside according to the weather report, but the laptop is plugged in, so it's probably not outside. Inside would be warmer. No smart thermostat to query the air temperature from. Anything else to get the air temperature from? Paired smartphone: is in proximity, was not used or moved for the past hour, reports that its core temperature is 24C. That's the room temperature.
Cooling system analysis: cross-referencing power draw logs to estimated room temperature to internal temperature. Not enough heat is being rejected by the cooling system. It underperforms the factory specification by at least 60%.
Past performance data: this laptop was used 7 times in the past 10 days. Seems like the cooling system was underperforming every time.
AI Assistant: your computer was overheating while you were playing GTA 6, which caused the performance issues. Check the air exhaust - the port at the left side of the laptop, with hot air coming out of it. Is there anything blocking it?
User: uh, no? The laptop was on the table the entire time. There's nothing to the left of it.
AI Assistant: it's likely that the laptop's cooling system needs cleaning. Should I check the prices at the nearest repair shop?
The monetary base expanded (aka "they printed a ton of money") between 2020-2022, so there were 2 options: the monetary base had to contract again, or the prices needed to adjust.
SPF is a Sun Protection Factor, meaning it multiplies the time it takes for your skin to burn. For example, if very light skin normally burns in about 10 minutes, SPF 20 stretches that to ~200 minutes, which is already over 3 hours. Since dermatologists recommend reapplying every 2 hours regardless, going beyond SPF 30–50 (which blocks ~97–98% of UVB) doesn’t add much practical benefit. Even for very fair skin, correct application and reapplication are far more important than chasing SPF 100.
Where I live in summer I regularly get days with UV index above 15.
If you burn in 15 minutes under UV index 6 on the worst days that I've seen you'd burn in 5 minutes. So a SPF of 60 is as useful here like an SPF of 20 is wherever you live.
Jesus H Christ, UV index of 15? I thought the 12 we see in the middle of Texas summers was bad. I've burnt in 10 minutes through a windshield with that.
The UV index in the southern hemisphere goes a lot higher than anything you experience up in the northern hemisphere. Do yourself a favour and go have look at the UV index on a hot summers day in Sydney in January.
This kind of SPF fatalism doesn't really make sense to me. There's absolutely no reason to quantize sun damage into "below burn time" and "above burn time." Damage is dose-dependent. Even burns come in different classes at different exposure durations; and maybe you'd prefer to get, you know, 30 seconds unprotected equivalent of sun damage instead of 3 minutes equivalent, at the same re-application interval.
If someone can make a true SPF 200 economically, it's valid for consumers to prefer that to a true SPF 100 or true SPF 50.
The author is Bryan Cantrill (bcantrill on HN), Sun (and Joyent) alumnus, kernel hacker, principal architect of dTrace, and a major contributor to ZFS. I doubt he uses LLMs to write his blogposts. Go watch any of his talks: he seems to have boundless energy. Seriously, if you've ever thought Musk came across as an Adderall tweaker, go watch some Bryan Cantrill. He's probably popping more Adderall (or Dexedrine, Vyvance, Ritalin?) than anyone else on HN.
Thanks for the kind words (I think?), and you're right that I don't use LLMs to write. (I do use them to read near-final drafts -- the most substantive result in this case was the deletion of a paragraph.) As for the substance abuse allegations: sorry to be boring, but just coffee and Diet Coke, I'm afraid.
You were probably downvoted because the comment doesn't add much value to the convo, but I agree, it was a bit difficult to read. But still interesting.. :)
- https://highload.fun/tasks/15/leaderboard
- https://highload.fun/tasks/24/leaderboard
In both cases my score showed other players that there were better solutions and pushed them to improve their scores as well.
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