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The article has an entire infographic titled "Most banks held more assets than deposits at the time they failed".


Searching for what excess mortality looks like in a "normal" (non-pandemic) year, I found this interesting statistic:

> By the year 2017, the United States was already suffering more excess deaths and more life years lost each year than those associated with the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020

https://penntoday.upenn.edu/news/United-States-COVID-19-was-...


Spoiler alert.

> Kelly wrote to Sale on New Year’s Day, instructing him to direct the $1,000 to Heifer International, a nonprofit that gives away breeding pairs of animals. Sale puzzled him by replying, “I didn’t lose the bet.” Kelly assumed he hadn’t seen Patrick’s decision, and he had the editor resend it.

> But Sale had read it—and rejected it.

> “I cannot accept that I lost,” he wrote to Patrick. “The clear trajectory of disasters shows that the world is much closer to my prediction. So clearly it cannot be said that Kevin won.”

> Like the raging denialist in the White House, the cantankerous anarchocommunalist has quit the game after the final score left him short. Sale says he is seeking some sort of appellate relief, if only by public opinion, when in fact the rules included no such reconsideration. Kelly is infuriated. “This was a gentleman’s bet, and he can only be classified as a cad,” he says.

Not to put too fine a point on it, but this Sale fellow sounds like an asshole.


Gloom & doom is a mood more than a reasoned position.


In order for this to work, one needs to jailbreak the Kindle. Is there a way to jailbreak a Kindle Oasis running the 5.12.x firmware? (My reading of the MobileRead Forums says this is impossible.)


Not possible currently.


Supposedly he got in trouble with the Church after appearing in the Bill Maher documentary Religulous. I looked up the video clip and thought it was refreshing how few fucks he seemed to give https://youtu.be/iTV-VgrbnZU


This comment on YouTube summs it up:

<<Sean Wu: "This man trolled bill Maher when he bill Maher was trying to troll him.">>


> We document that a portfolio that mimics the purchases of U.S. Senators beats the market by 85 basis points per month, while a port- folio that mimics the sales of Senators lags the market by 12 basis points per month. The large difference in the returns of stocks bought and sold (nearly one percentage point per month) is economically large and reliably positive.

https://projects.iq.harvard.edu/files/gov2126/files/ziobrows...


Is there a specific name for this general phenomenon?


Low aggregate demand. Note that when they talk about low aggregate demand they mean demand for stuff versus money.

So low aggregate demand for stuff (this includes consumables but also investments stuff such as factories) is the same as high aggregate demand for money (including money like instruments such as gov bonds).


What exactly are these passwords used for? The post mentions "controlling this object in the RIPE database" but I'm missing some context necessary to understand that.


Basically you can take ownership of their IP ranges, modify routing information, etc.

Even if you took a small percentage of the IP addresses in Europe, this could have a snowball effect. You take the IP addresses belonging to a popular mail service used by other domains, then you use admin email addresses to reset and eventually Europes internet is stolen.


It's not quite that simple. The RIPE database stores mostly administrative information, and doesn't _directly_ affect Internet routing.

In order to "steal" IP addresses (get them routed to you) you would need to buy a connection to at least one exchange point, probably several if you want all the traffic for the target to route to you and not just some traffic from some networks. You'd need to buy rackspace somewhere with a connection to the exchange point, install routers, establish BGP peerings with the exchange point (if they're doing route reflection) or with all the other major networks at the exchange.

There are multiple steps along the way where humans would look at the prefixes you were going to be announcing. This would include looking them up in RIPE, but anything more than a cursory inspection would likely reveal your ruse.

At this point it becomes more of a social engineering attack, and even if you got as far as announcing it, there are things like BGPMon that would pick up the fraudulent announcement pretty quickly and you'd likely find that the cable was pulled out of your router pretty fast.


Thank you!


Patrick, it seems like this latest episode isn't available on iTunes. Maybe it's related to the error message I see when I load the feed in my browser [0]

> This page contains the following errors:

> error on line 3559 at column 476: Input is not proper UTF-8, indicate encoding ! Bytes: 0xE3 0x81 0xA8 0xE3

[0] http://www.kalzumeus.com/category/podcasts/feed/


It's in iTunes. Sometimes there is a delay for them to crawl the feed. Another issue might be that, if you haven't listened to me recently, your client might not grab updates. (Totally reasonable since nothing was published in several months.)


The clickbait article headline is "Why Doesn’t Silicon Valley Hire Black Coders?"

The answer is buried three quarters of the way into the article:

> When they started interviewing seniors, companies found — as Pratt did at Howard — that many were underprepared. They hadn’t been exposed to programming before college and had gaps in their college classes.

So why isn't the article titled, "Why Aren't Enough Black Coders Prepared for Silicon Valley"?


Based on my experience interviewing a handful of developer candidates graduating from Howard, not being prepared is the best way I can describe the impression they left.

It felt like they only had a smattering of CS courses, none of which pushed them very hard.

In other words, they should fix their curriculum.


Is this really a problem specifically with Howard, or more a problem with CS curriculum in general? I ask this leaving the likes of CMU, Stanford, MIT, out of the equation - I'm thinking more about the "non-elite" CS programs, of which there are many, many more.

I am mentoring a CS student at another university and have had some challenges bringing this student along because the fundamentals are just not being taught. I took some time to compare it to Howard's curriculum, and I see some really practical courses offered at Howard - a 1 credit intro to OO and Java, Unix Lab, etc. Not that these make one a computer scientist, but when hiring entry level kids out of college, I would expect these skills to be somewhat solid, and that is not the case with really any CS programs today.


> Is this really a problem specifically with Howard, or more a problem with CS curriculum in general? I ask this leaving the likes of CMU, Stanford, MIT, out of the equation - I'm thinking more about the "non-elite" CS programs, of which there are many, many more.

You shouldn't leave the elite programs out of the equation. I've helped to interview a good handful of people who went to elite institutions and had done difficult, important work, but couldn't answer our interview questions correctly. We don't even use hard interview questions, just three that expect you to know some tricks-of-the-trade for systems programming and basic processor architecture.


I cannot speak for CS, but for chemistry I would not hire anyone who did not graduate from a top-20 program. At any other college, both theory and practice are taught with insufficient depth and rigour - in essence everyone who joins one of those programs either is a medical school aspirant or just there for the "college". CS may be different.


I can't speak for chemistry, but this is a horrificly shitty thing. There are many factors influencing what schools a student chooses to attend. Finances being an important one.


College choice is a problem, especially for first-generation students and those whose families aren't well-off. There are students who could do much better than Tumbleweed State, but they didn't pick the nearby Ivy because they it never crossed their minds that they could have gotten in. There might have been a decent financial aid package. If there wasn't one, who can risk debt in this economic climate.

But I can't fix the world. It's not my fault that at non-top-20 colleges they fail to teach basic things.


This is one of the most horribly elitist comments I think I have ever seen on this site.

Cost is a huge consideration for prospective college student, especially since the onset of the Great Recession.

Furthermore, quality education is available at (I would estimate) most institutions of higher learning. It's just that the students have to do some research to find out who the good professors are at the less prestigious schools.

I think you are doing yourself, your company, and the graduates of less prestigious institutions of higher learning a great disservice being so dismissive toward "lesser" schools.


For people that can get into Harvard or Yale, they will be among the cheaper options, at least as far as tuition.

Especially people that aren't coming from wealthy families, as their need based aid programs will pay 100%.


Anecdotally, a friend of mine had a chemistry education at a top 50 school and went straight to a PhD program at an ivy league where they have had no trouble keeping up.


That sounds like the same technique an HR person would use for hiring, not someone looking for skill in an individual.


This is a problem for essentially every liberal arts school I've looked at.


This is a misrepresentation of the article's position. The article's actual, more ambiguous, position is better summarized in another paragraph:

> People tend to discuss Silicon Valley’s diversity problem in binary terms. One camp says companies are biased against underrepresented minorities, or at least aren’t trying hard enough to attract them. The other says there aren’t enough people from these backgrounds who are qualified for positions—or at least who are good enough to beat those Stanford grads with all the programming trophies and internship experience and Mozart-like childhoods. The reality is, both are true.


This sort of assumes that it is everyone's job to try hard to attract underrepresented minorities. That's expecting way too much noble-mindedness of people. What employment tends to optimize for is good capable employees in general. If the pool does include qualified and capable minorities, they will get employed in most cases (and racial bias will likely be there only in a minority of cases -- atleast in Silicon Valley). Just employing token representatives from under-represented minorities will only perpetuate the problem (special if the token representatives end up performing poorly if they were employed not for their ability but just to represent a minority). What will help is to have a large pool of minority group grads to select from.


I think you are exaggerating how much merit is taken into account during interviews.


Perceived merit, not necessarily actual merit. I think in every interview, how much ever you sneer at it, the people employing will prefer someone who can do their job than someone who will end up needing support to do their job. They may include their bias later, but they still will look for people they perceive to be capable of doing the job they are hiring for.


This seems to be the same problem as women have in Silicon Valley. If you didn't spend a lot of time with computers on your own before college, you're not in the running. Up until 1985 or so, that wasn't the case, because few people had pre-college access to much CPU power. More women were going into computer science then.


I did a relatively easy CS program, but even so I can't imagine going into it without already knowing how to program. It seemed pretty brutal for the people who didn't, and I think even many who made it through didn't get much out of it. Too much too fast.


Do you have anything more than anecdata for the idea that "If you didn't spend a lot of time with computers on your own before college, you're not in the running."?

I've heard that idea in a lot of places, but it's never matched up with my personal experiences. I did my undergraduate at CMU, and plenty of the better programmers there I knew hadn't done any programming before they came to CMU.

But of course, this too is anecdata.


Two reasons,

1. CMU is the top CS school nationally; the basic quality of the education makes up for the lack of previous experience

2. CMU crafted a program specifically for students without previous experience to counter this effect; most schools do not


Perhaps CMU's specializations could be applied to Howard?


I think it's a dangerous myth, and I also have plenty of anecdata that matches yours. I only switched to software engineering partway through college, worked hard, and had a great job 3 years later. And people can always start in a basic position and spend their career improving and moving up.


Ones man's anecdotes are anothers statistics. I haven't seen any data driven evidence for this, but let's use a thought experiment: would you expect it is more likely for professional athletes to come from a background of playing sports and being active from a young age?

I think most people would say yes except to play devil's advocate. Becoming a top caliber athlete requires years of conditioning, experience predicting trajectories of fast moving targets, ability to read your competitors, mental fortitude, flexiblity, and more. Why would we expect a field that prides itself with top caliber professionals in a competitive environment to be any different?


Are teachers, accountants, mathematicians, scientists, doctors, or lawyers known for practicing to get into their respective fields in elementary & middle school? Not so much. Even for the most demanding fields, we expect them to begin to specialize only in their high school years.

To my mind, the fields which are known for requiring training from childhood are sports and the performing arts (music, theatre).

And if I had to guess, I'd speculate this is less because it's intensely difficult to play sports or learn to play music, but because so few people can become professionally successful in these fields (there's only room for so many sports/music/film stars). CS doesn't have this problem (the demand for programmers is skyrocketing), so we shouldn't expect folks who learned to program in childhood to have any more than a mild-to-modest advantage.


Mathematicians, scientists, and doctors absolutely! Catching and dissecting frogs, joining math clubs, debate teams, etc. It's not a requirement but when I think of the best folks in their respective fields they did not start in college. It's not that they've specialized from a young age, but they had long term passions for the tools useful for their field.

What early education provides is a safety net when things become tough. My classmates without this preparation had a much more difficult path and many eventually dropped out. The psychological effect of impostor syndrome is a component to picking field to study in college; those who feel they have a harder time than their peers are less likely to continue in the field long term.


Sure, but I wasn't talking about what it takes to be the best in your field. I was talking about what it takes to even be given a fair shot. (Original comment: "If you didn't spend a lot of time with computers on your own before college, you're not in the running.")


Because recruiters are lazy. They cherry pick colleges and build relationships over a period of years. Then they decide that they need more black people, so they send someone to man a booth at a historically black college and expect the same level of polish. (Which is mostly BS)

I had the same experience as a graduate of a mid tier public college. Finally a recruiter from a big company laid it out for me -- they have a list of schools they recruit from, period unless you are referred.


That's not clickbait though. It's a reasonable title for the article. Your may be closer to the truth, but the original title is completely valid and the article's content addresses the issue fairly. It's not clickbait.


Are they less prepared than people graduating from the hacker schools (or whatever they're called) that are popping up guaranteeing jobs?


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