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Reading through these comments is pretty sad. I didn't know how bad it had gotten. Haven't had to look for few years.

And, the AI trained on Stack Overflow. So if no one is posting new questions, and new answers. What will AI train on next, for the next thing.

Stack Overflow and Reddit are still getting threads. And as AI gets smarter, the questions will also expand.

your prompts, and the code you have it review.

Maybe.

I thought point was on Stack Overflow, there were community voting on 'best' answer.

If it is just me and the AI. Then the AI training data, is just whatever I approved the AI to do. Just my opinion.


Is there someplace that takes all of these inputs. Then graphs them over 10 or 20 years and include some adjustment for inflation? I didn't see in article any discussion about mortgage rates versus appreciation versus inflation.

Article did sum all the inputs/outputs, and came out at loss. I'm just wondering if there is some other trends over 10 or 20 years that make the house better.


https://rentvsbuycalculator.app/

Based on the nytimes version from 20 years ago but updated since then.

Actual rent vs. buy outcomes vary by location, but the general rule is that in most desirable urban areas, it's financially better to rent.


Not all the inputs, but Ben Felix’s company (makes videos on this topic) has a rent vs buy calculator, mainly focused on investing the cost difference for mortgage vs renting: https://research-tools.pwlcapital.com/research/rent-vs-buy


Maybe short term, pumping out chickens. For food.

Long term, maybe chickens are just the test case and they will pump out human slaves. Replicants.


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To be fair, artificial womb technology would really mess with society.

It could end the abortion issue if fertilized eggs could be moved early enough. Any woman who didn't want a baby could have it transferred to an artificial womb and sign away all rights to/responsibility for it. Any father who wanted their child when the mother didn't could keep it. It could help premature infants too.

That's very likely to be the future of the human race where governments produce, train and push out artificial humans like a factory. Well if we don't solve aging and robotics by then, then we'll probably just stop having babies altogether or at least not in a quantity that matters.

Artificial womb developed decade ago (2016): https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Artificial_womb

"very stupid and uneducated thing to suggest"

1. Take a common trope in fiction and research for a hundred years. With long known commonly linked ramifications.

2. A company actually starts doing it.

3. Suggest a link

4. -> Call it Stupid.

Yeah. Don't worry about it at all. Nothing to see here.


If we wanted to pump out human slaves now, I don't think the main obstacle is that we can't find enough women to bear them.

If they are born of woman, they would be human.

If they are made, we can re-label them as machines and give them lesser rights. And make ourselves feel better about treating them as lower class by some 'justification', like they don't have souls.

Perhaps some gene editing to give them 'blue' skin, some non-historically-biased-color to identify them.

Really. There are ton of books with these themes already. I'm not saying anything that hasn't been said, and now a company is doing it, so why am I getting downvoted.


> If they are made, we can re-label them as machines and give them lesser rights. And make ourselves feel better about treating them as lower class by some 'justification', like they don't have souls.

We could but maybe we don’t? Slavery is pretty inefficient. If South Korea could mass produce people, I’m pretty sure the government would be happy with just letting them be normal members of society instead of some kind of Smurf slave caste for a populace vanishing from demographic collapse.

Fiction is nice when you want to speculate on “what if …” but reality is infinitely more complex.


Gene editing is a whole different topic. And only the very first one would need to be "born of woman".

Artificial eggs are basically irrelevant to the dystopia you're describing.


Eggs are simpler than Wombs. Chickens are simpler than Humans. Of course we have to solve the simpler things first. Of course, this is leading along the same path as occurs in Brave New World. We have to be able to grow chickens before we can move on to humans.

We already have cloning. But have lacked being able to do it without implanting the egg into a female. This is just getting us closer.

Baby steps. That the dystopia isn't happening today doesn't mean we aren't working on it.


What is "it", exactly? I have probably read some of the same dystopian science fiction novels as you have. But this is Jurassic Park, not A Brave New World.

In one of the movies, they did clone a human, they just didn't lean into that story line. It was treated as a one-off, but the same science allowed both. (in the fictional story)

The point isn't that we'll have humans tomorrow. Just that this one step. We'll need to solve problems on simpler animals first. An egg is easier than a womb, a chicken is easier than a human. It's the start.

So yes. Brave New World isn't today. But its obvious this technology is on the same path.


Yeah but there's also the book where we make people in a lab and they're great and everyone lives happily ever after forever. Don't cherry-pick your data.

So I'm not providing a good literary survey of books with similar tropes and providing some of the positive ones? There are literally half dozen very famous negative examples, but I didn't do good enough search to find a positive one?

That would be like every comment on AI should include some example from The Culture Series as an example that all this AI stuff could great.


No man, it's just that saying "this scenario is popular because it makes for a good story therefore it'll happen in reality" is an absurd point to make.

Taking scientific breakthroughs and extrapolating and/or comparing to Science Fiction? Shock, clutch my pearls, who would do such a thing. The absurdity. Surely nobody has done this before.

And they were all about as right as chance!

Sure. If you take all of Science Fiction, if you want, take all of Literature. And compare it to everything that actually has happened. Then Fiction has guessed at more things than have actually happened. So, a poor predictor.

Not sure what that point is proving. We shouldn't look at fiction for any inspiration or cautionary tales? Just shut up and calculate?


The point is proving that "chickens now, maybe humans later" is just an extremely poor predictor. It's a useless disapproval of a new technology based on "hey, you can't prove it won't happen!".

Never said it is a proof.

But it is a necessary step.

So, we might not get humans. Ok, but we also wont get humans without simpler test cases along the way. Simpler animals, simpler mechanisms. So now we are taking those steps.

We can't see the end, but we are on the road.

Maybe that is why the fictional stories resonate here. It is easy to see the possible connections. Easy to make the leap from here, to what could be. Even if it is not an actual predictor like a scientific proof.


I still don't understand how an artificial hard physical egg, like the ones a natural chicken lays, which I'm pretty sure is not where humans come from; I don't understand where that is "on the road" simply because, and again, I'm no biologist, but as far as I know, humans don't come from hard shelled eggs.

Its the crawl before walking argument.

You need to invent transistors before you can invent the computer.

If you went back in time when transistors were invented and told them to be careful, those might lead to a global computer network controlled by social media companies that will enslave you. They would look at you like your crazy. And yet there was sci-fi stories at the time about future computers.

So, on one hand, yes I'm making a leap. But on other, it isn't completely crazy. Not so crazy to dismiss.

The egg is on the same technology path. But yes, humans are far off.


Those seem pretty ordinary by beer commercial standards.

Advertising didn't kill Schlitz. They made some processing changes to their formula that caused a micro infection. Not sure, could have been Pediococcus. But they did it all at once, and ruined so many batches, that customers left and never came back.


"Who cares if they just predict the next token?"

Exactly. I also only write one word at a time. Who knows what is going on in order to come up with that word.


Depending on your point of view? I see what you did there.

Who knew Obi-one was just smoking and pontificating on Wittgenstein.


Hasn't every cloud provider had issues? Is the enshitification of servces really isolated to Google, or are we all doomed.

Banning accounts for no stated reason is kind of a Google speciality. They have a long well documented history of this sort of thing.

Has AWS ever done this? I think their lack of social network nonsense is a benefit here...

They are all impossible without supplies from Earth.

But wonder if a floating balloon contraption isn't more likely than a base on Mars. Which is more deadly?

Venus seems to have more potentially useful compounds in the atmosphere.


Mars is more deadly. Easily so.

Venus atmosphere has the right amounts of radiation, temperature, and pressure. And close to the right gravity.


What does it matter when something was realized versus its anthropomorphism?

Didn't some guy use a huge rock as a doorstop before someone realized it was gold and worth a lot.

It was gold before it was realized it was gold. What did it's discover matter? It didn't change what it was. The worth as 'gold' is totally superimposed by the humans.


There are a bunch of stories about people using valuable rocks as a doorstop, meteorites, gold, amber etc

It means that if you remove the meaning humans give to to, it's much easier to explain it as a coincidence, something that is produced naturally and it just happens to have the right property (for any value of property).

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