It says he's still winning to this day. Makes me wonder if his current model is using Machine Learning (ML) techniques? Which leads me to wonder how successful ML techniques are with data rich sources of gambling and whether there are any syndicates I can join to invest in and let them do all the heavy lifting... I'm sure there's a whole world out there I am yet to discover.
The problem with modern social media, compared to traditional ones, is it offers you to consume other peoples feedback on the story. It's a bit like traditional media publishing an opinion poll with every story run. The problem is how these "polls" influence peoples opinions and the role censorship plays in this.
Imagine a politically divisive event occurs and while the original feedback was 50%-50% on opposing opinions, the moderator made it look like it was 100%-0%. This makes people feel isolated and forces them psychologically to change their opinion to the virtually predominant one. You can image LLMs only enhancing these mechanisms.
As an extreme example of this, I remember during the corona pandemic, on reddit r/worldnews there was a weekly thread that was cheering on for deaths of Russian citizens to corona. The whole thread was heavily curated only to display pure hate towards Russians. And the moderators always deleted the thread after a week and started a new one. People who posted in the thread and didn't get on with the program, had their accounts simultaneously permabanned on all major subreddits. I know, because it happened to me.
If I wrote this on Reddit, I would be called a dirty Russian, a spy, a bot, a generally evil person, a traitor and I have also been called various anti-Chinese racial slurs, some quite graphic and disgusting. There's many people out there seeking validation and acceptance, and they find it in such hate groups. I believe historians far in the future will be putting Reddit in the same category as the Hitler youth organization.
And HN is very much like Reddit, only with slightly smarter people. The moderators in here also hold very extreme views on various topics and manipulate the discourse to give false appearances of public opinion on those topics.
For the research portion, there are (unfortunately) lower impact journals like where the following paper -- about replacing aeronautical alloys with alumina-- is from:
Japan has a lot of interesting not-quite-industrial family run high tech businesses. Solar pumped lasers I mentioned, but there's also crystal growing, small scale almost cottage level hightech paper and wood makers. Few reading materials though. Some of this "movement" will eventually diffuse to China, Korea and finally India.
These are about nearer term substitutes, a lot of them still involve industrial processes, but it is much easier to tweak industrial processes to turn them solarpunk than to replace entire classes of materials.
For the finance angle, I'm afraid I won't be able to direct you to any good free roadmap for Year 50 to Year 250, but for Year 0 to 50 I recommend studying how governments in the asia-pacific are funding decarbonization R&D, especially in SMEs. (Although we might be more interested in Africa or India?) Pay attention to IP law reform.
E.g. japanese gov report here (I was especially interested in the optoelectronics, for reasons of "demetallization", but Japan has small very localizable optics firms, think Thor but localized).
R & D expenditures for optoelectronic fusion technology that is expected to reduce energy consumption by up to 40 per cent in data centers. Optoelectronic fusion is a technology that fuses circuits that handle electrical signals and optical signals. Calculations have been performed with "binary numbers" by switching on and off of the electricity in conventional computers.Electricity however generates heat when it flows through circuits, and energy is used to generate heat that is not originally necessary, and when it generates heat, the resistance of the electric paths increases,leading to decreases in the calculation speeds. Therefore, research is underway to replace calculation using electricity with processing using light.Power saving and low latency are achieved by connecting internal circuits in computers with light without using electricity as much as possible. The aim is to gradually introduce light into computing chips or peripheral equipment in computers that have been processed by electricity.The aims are ﴾1﴿ to establish a technology that connects chips used for calculation and peripheral equipment with light in 2024, ﴾2﴿ to connect between chips with light in 2024 and ﴾3﴿ to practically realize a photoelectric fusion chip that calculates with light in the final stage in 2030. There are some estimation that the spread of optoelectronic fusion technology will save more than 40 per cent of energy by 2030 compared to the current state-of-the-art data centers.
This is at commercial scale, but the process is very simple, you can even do it at home! (And of course, barely hinted in the video many mom and pop shops in Japan doing it. It's not very far from samurai just making swords from beach sand.)
used to be many small town companies in the US doing this, you can imagine, IF THERE WAS DEMAND from your cow rearing neighbours..
This seems like a first for the House Homeland Security Committee. For a security vendor, not a general IT company. Should be eye-opening if he actually comments on risk, QA etc.
Due to the scale I think it’s reasonable to state that in all likelihood many people have died because of this. Sure it might be hard to attribute single cases but statistically I would expect to see a general increase in probability.
I used to work at MS and didn’t like their 2:1 test to dev ratio or their 0:1 ratio either and wish they spent more work on verification and improved processes instead of relying on testing - especially their current test in production approach. They got sloppy and this was just a matter of time. And god I hate their forced updates, it’s a huge hole in the threat model, basically letting in children who like to play with matches.
My important stuff is basically air-gapped. There is a gateway but it’ll only accept incoming secure sockets with a pinned certificate and only a predefined in-house protocol on that socket. No other traffic allowed. The thing is designed to gracefully degrade with the idea that it’ll keep working unattended for decades, the software should basically work forever so long as equivalent replacement hardware could be found.
In the beginning 'twas the command line, and cmd was good, and it sufficed, for computing was the product. And we looked around and saw the IBM PC and Mac - and Amigas and STs and Commodores before them, and Spectra, and Lisas and IIe, all after their kind, and all was well - for they were computers.-
Then the OS became the product. And it needed glitz, and it needed a GUI. And so a GUI came. And then "updates" came - for we were now "online".-
And thus the "network" came, and we were "as one", and our compute was joined forevermore, and we could no more tell our children from our children's children and our old age from our youth. And sadness and pointlessness was turned "social" into glitz. And everything from our infirmity to praise went there as plain as day and dark as night for all to see. And all seemed well.-
And it came to pass that our user accounts went on the net, for they were "subscribed", and they were also "online", for they had lost their flavour. And the advertising came ...
Now, we ourselves are the product. The "network" is the computer, and much woe is to come. And there shall be much girding of our loins, off of our loins as well, for our hardrives and compute are places of consumption, rented out under pretense of service to those that run the bits.-
For now AI is also come, for we have ourselves trained it, with the fruit of our sweat and our tears. And all is well and will be well, for AI shall be unto us a confort in loneliness, and a hand in our fields and unto us an oracle for all truth and wisdom and even law - with time.-
And we forgot our code and became garrulous and forgetful of our trades and machinery, and we knew less and less with every season. And it became the law to know the code no longer, and the trades. For it was now a crime and deed of evil to gaze upon the code, or long for it, or learn, or have our trades as did our fathers.-
And the computer shall no more exist, for all will be compute.-
"Probably not going to be the most upbeat topic but it is something that has come out of months of frustration and now being de-platformed for continuing to ask the same questions within the project. NBA Topshots, Dapper Labs and FLOW. I am not going to sit here and shit on them from a great height, even though I could. Instead give you the documented evidence I have retained in my plight and let you decide if this is just growing pains or if the teams at Dapper and FLOW have just been asleep at the wheel."
